The Rhythm of History
A meditation on the cyclical rhythm of history—how moments like 1918, 1920, and 1929 reveal repeating human patterns of crisis, forgetting, and consequence, and what it would mean to truly learn from them.
Liquidity, incentives, cycles and risk — how value is created, transferred and sometimes destroyed.
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RSS feedA meditation on the cyclical rhythm of history—how moments like 1918, 1920, and 1929 reveal repeating human patterns of crisis, forgetting, and consequence, and what it would mean to truly learn from them.
Time changes value, and every choice carries a “compared to what?”—a lens that links the time value of money, opportunity cost, and discount rates to real decisions in life and business.
A practical lens (T5) for seeing the transactional rails beneath modern life—Asset, Price, Ledger, Protocol, Power—and for designing humane counters: thick consent, commons-first systems, and dignity-preserving friction where it matters.
Markets speak their own language — full of ratios, Greeks, and curious words like backwardation or contango. This guide breaks down some of the most common (and misunderstood) terms used in trading and investment circles.
Markets, like minds, move not only on facts but on expectations. The self-fulfilling prophecy shows how shared beliefs turn into order flow, liquidity events, and ultimately the prices that seem to “confirm” those beliefs.
The “close” is a mechanism, not just a timestamp. This essay explains how daily and weekly closes differ in auction/settlement, liquidity, and halt structure—why that creates gaps, and how those gaps behave across futures, FX, and crypto.
Investing and trading aren’t opposites so much as different relationships to time. This guide clarifies frames—from scalping to position trading—and argues that most edge is born in ranges, not headlines. Choose your horizon, respect its rules, and let discipline—not drift—set your course.
Back when BitMEX paid maker rebates, I turned ~$30 into ~$2,000 by posting passive liquidity and guarding inventory. This post breaks down the rebate math, spread capture, and kill-switches—and shows how that small-edge discipline connects to “Trading Big Bags,” where structure, not bravado, determines survival.
Capital size should dictate strategy. What works for a $1,000 trader becomes reckless at $10M. The recent $17M loss on Hyperliquid shows how fragile structures — high leverage, linear contracts, and concentration — turn conviction into catastrophe. This essay breaks down why efficiency, not ego, defines survivability, and how inverse contracts, venue distribution, and leverage discipline transform outcomes.
EVs are often criticised for their manufacturing footprint, but this misses the crucial point: they have no tailpipes. In cities like London, where millions of ICE cars exhale poison daily, EVs clear the air we actually breathe. They shift emissions upstream to a few factories and power plants—sites that can be regulated and cleaned far more easily than millions of exhaust pipes. Like catalytic converters before them, EVs are not perfect, but they are a vital step in reclaiming breathable cities.